Submitted on December 10, 2007
Accepted on April 9, 2008
The Sensitivity of Polar Ozone Depletion to Proposed Geoengineering
Schemes
Simone Tilmes 1*,
Rolf Müller 2, Ross Salawitch
3
1 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
80307, USA.
2 Research Center Jülich, 52425 Jülich,
Germany.
3 University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742,
USA.
* To whom correspondence should be addressed.
Simone
Tilmes , E-mail: tilmes{at}ucar.edu
The large burden of sulfate aerosols injected into the
stratosphere by the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991 cooled our
planet and enhanced destruction of polar ozone in the following
few years. The continuous injection of sulfur into the
stratosphere has been suggested as a "geoengineering" scheme to
counteract global warming. We use an empirical relationship
between ozone depletion and chlorine activation to estimate how
this approach might influence polar ozone. An injection of
sulfur large enough to compensate surface warming due to the
doubling of CO2 would cause a drastic increase in
the extent of Arctic ozone depletion during the next century
for cold winters and would cause a considerable delay, between
30 and 70 years, in the expected recovery of the Antarctic
ozone hole.